Archive for the ‘Free Plays’ Category
Saturday, September 4th, 2010
MLB: Angels (Weaver) at A’s (Cahill) Under 8.5
The Angels and the A’s both send out their aces in Jared Weaver (11-10, 3.12) and Trevor Cahill (14-6, 2.82). It’s the same old story for Weaver, he’s lost three straight starts, the Angels shit out in all three. The under is 18-8 in the Halo’s righty 26 starts. Cahill was spanked at Yankee Stadium in his last, the first time he’s been really rocked all year. He has a 1.84 ERA at home, the Under a perfect 10-0. Runs figure to be at a premium here. Play the Under.
Tags: Anaheim+Angels, Free+Picks, Free+Plays, MLB, Oakland+A's
Posted in Baseball, Free Plays, Handicapping Sports | No Comments »
Friday, September 3rd, 2010
MLB: San Diego (Luebke) -141 Over Colorado (Cook)
Betting first time starters “In the Blind” has been a tried and true “system”for “older” cappers for almost three decades. It’s startling successful and you can follow up by fading these pitchers in their second start if they were to win.
We have a perfect spot tonight with the struggling Padres at home versus the resurgent Colorado Rockies.
Tonight’s Friar starter, Cory Luebke is 10-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 17 starts split between AA and AAA. He’s a southpaw and the Padres has have won the last meetings of the series throwing lefties versus Colorado.
The Rockies Aaron Cook is 0-3 in his L3 starts with a disturbing 13.98 whip and horrific 3.003 whip. In those three starts he’s lasted just nine innings allowing 29 baserunners (23 hits) and 15 earned runs. This is the epitome of chuck and duck.
Sure the Padres have lost seven straight but those were to a pissed off Philly team that had just been swept in their own house by Houston and a loose an easy DBack bunch simply playing out the string.
The Rockies are a different animal on the road and come off three games in San Francisco where they scored a combined five runs. If Luebke is anything at all, and we think he his, it will be a couple of times through the lineup to nail this guy down.
Betting first-time starters in the blind has been highly profitable for me over the last 20+ years. Don’t miss these sports in September as you’ll have plenty of opportunities thanks to the 40 man call up.
Tags: betting+baseball, Colorado+Rockies, First+Time+Starters, MLB, San+Diego+Padres
Posted in Baseball, Free Plays, Handicapping Sports | No Comments »
Wednesday, September 1st, 2010
MLB: Florida (Volstad) -150 over Washington (Olsen)
The Nats and Fish are playing out the string but if last night’s 1-0 extra-inning win by Florida is any indication, neither team has quit. The home team has a huge edge in starting pitching tonight as Nat starter Scott Olsen has thrown batting practice the last month going 0-5 with an 8.37 ERA. He lost 9-5 to the Marlins back on August 11th giving up seven earned while registering just five outs. Florida’s Chris Volstad is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last pair and is 3-0 this year against the Nasty Nats. If current form holds, the Marlins are easy winners.
Tags: Florida+Marlins, Free+Baseball+Plays, Free+Picks, Free+Plays, MLB, Washington+Nationals
Posted in Baseball, Free Plays, Handicapping Sports | No Comments »
Friday, August 27th, 2010
Friday, August 27, 2010 MLB: Boston (Lester) +110 over Tampa Bay (Price)
The Red Sox have picked Tampa Bay as the place to make their “Last Stand”. Jon Lester steps in for DiceK to face Ray ace David Price as Beantown looks to sweep this key three game set. Lester rocks nasty 1.88 ERA in his last six roadies. Price is 4-0 in his L6 but has been the beneficiary of strong support based on ho-hum 3.68 ERA. BoSox are 10-5 on turf and 11-5 L16 as a road dog at this price. More coincidence than trend, the Rays an awful 3-16 in L19 Friday games. Put up or shut up for Boston, take the Red Sox.
Tags: Boston+RedSox, Free+Picks, Free+Plays, MLB, Tampa+Bay+Rays
Posted in Baseball, Free Plays, Handicapping Sports, Sports | No Comments »
Wednesday, August 18th, 2010
MLB: NY Mets (Dickey at Houston (Myers) Under 7:00 PM EST
The Mets RA Dickey is making a great case for comeback player of the year. The ligamentless knuckleballer has carried the Mets on his back this summer coming from nowhere to post 8-5 record with a 2.43 ERA and should have more wins in the bank with any type of run supports and a little help from his friends in the pen. Bret Myers (8-7, 3.13) has been super on a rotten Astros club all year and has arguably been the best starter in baseball this summer. Rewarded with sweet deal last month, he continues to pitch great. With these offenses, the first one to three wins here. Play the Under.
Tags: Free Picks, Free Plays, Hadicapping Baseball, Houston Astros, MLB, NY Mets
Posted in Baseball, Free Plays, Handicapping Sports | No Comments »
Thursday, June 24th, 2010
MLB: San Francisco (Cain) at Houston (W Rod) over 7 2:05 PM EST
Prefer a little extra juice with the seven here, you don’t pay juice when you win anyway. The Giants Matt Cain is razor sharp but not the luckist guy in the world and just 1-2 with a 3.90 LT ERA vs the Astros. Wandy Rodriguez is throwning batting practice at 0-3 with a 10.20 ERA in his L3. WRod has 8.36 LT ERA against the Giants in limited opportunities and could give this number up by himself. Plays Giants/Asros Over the total.
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Tags: Free Picks, Free Plays, Houston Astros, MLB, San Francisco Giants
Posted in Baseball, Free Plays, Handicapping Sports | No Comments »
Saturday, June 19th, 2010
World Cup: Denmark pick -140 over Cameroon
The Danes cruised through qualifications and were most pundits “sexy” underdog shocker along with Chile. Denmark couldn’t have been unluckier in Game I, first catching a very tough Netherlands in the opener, then playing the Dutch square before own goal proved to be their undoing. Denmark has solid World Cup pedigree with the likes of the Laudrop brothers and Lars Preben Elkjaer terroring opponent goals in the 80’s and 90’s. The African contingent has been disappointing this year with just one win in nine matches at this writing. The Indomitable Lions can’t run out Roger Mila here and man-for-man, Cameroon does not match up well. In this loser go home match, Denmark pick minus change looks like one of the easier plays in the tournament.
Tags: 2010 World Cup, Cameroon, Denmark, FIFA, South Africa, World Cup
Posted in Free Plays, Handicapping Sports, Soccer | No Comments »
Thursday, June 17th, 2010
2010 US Open from Pebble Beach, Par:71, 7040 Yards
This year’s US Open is wide open with better than 60 golfers with legit chances to win. The precision players will do very well here and the big bangers have no definitive edge like at The Masters. The greens are small and fast and you have to be straight off the tee with the ability to get up and down.
Phil Mickelson will suplant Tiger as #1 in the world with a win here. Lefty has been runner-up five times in the US Open and may be dialed in here as he has three wins in tour events at Pebble Beach. Mickelson will be penalized by the roughs if he’s too aggressive and no bargain at 7-1. Lets throw Phil and Tiger out.
The event sets up perfectly for players like Tim Clark (50-1 Bodog) and Geoff Ogilvy (50-1 Bodog). Clark is off a win in the “Fifth” major, The Players Championship, fourth on the tour in money, with five top ten finishes. Ogilvy is a lurker that hasn’t had an overly impressive 2010 but can hang around and make some noise on Sunday.
Other players with a shot at a price are Nick Watney (66-1 Bodog), Angel Cabrera (80-1 Bodog), and Brian Gay (100-1). I’ll use Clark and Cabrera as top plays and get a good dose of all five in the matchups.
No brain surgery in this year’s US Open. You don’t have to drive 350 to have a shot at Pebble Beach. You have to hit it straight like laying pipe, be handy around the greens and as always, have the putter working. Good Luck!
Tags: 2010 US Open, Angel Cabrera, Brian Gay, Geoff Ogilvy, Golf, Nick Watney, Pebble Beach, Phil Mickelson, Tiger Woods, Tim Clark
Posted in Free Plays, Golf, Handicapping Sports | No Comments »
Sunday, June 13th, 2010
World Cup: Germany -1 (-125) over Australia
Big impost here with a basically shorthanded favorite but … Germany is one of those teams and one of the few Euros that always seems to just come up money in tournament action. In 2006, Klinsmann guided a young inexperienced club to a third place finish on their home turf. That foundation, sans oldies Ballack and Klose, and new fresh legs on the back line should get the Fatherland easily through matches like these. The Germans blasted Costa Rica 4-2 in their 2006 opener and face a defensively challenged SoccerRoo outfit here. This Aussie crew is game as always but nowhere near as good as the group that almost took down the Italians in 2006. Germany 3-1.
Tags: 2010 World Cup, Australia, Germany, Soccer, South Africa, World Cup
Posted in Free Plays, Soccer, Sports | No Comments »
Friday, June 11th, 2010
It’s Day One of the 2010 World Cup in South Africa. I had hoped to do a lot of work to post here and at other sites but circumstances have dictated otherwise. Just to get my picks “On the Record”, here we go.
My soccer qualifications ??? I lived in Italy for 13 years, Costa Rica four years. My father was on the medical staff of AC Roma and second division Ternana for more than 25 years before passing.
Day One Selections:
Mexico pick -135 over South Africa
Over 2.5 Mexico and South Africa +135
Uruguay +0.5 -110 over France
After an uncharacteristic slow start, Mexico was playing as well as anyone in the Concaf qualifying region and should be considered one of the more dangerous second tier teams. They are in the unenviable position of of facing the hosts on opening day in front of 90,000 fans that will be even more amped by the tragedy surrounding Nelson Mandela’s great-granddaughter who was killed by a drunk driver after last night’s opening ceremony concert. Lots of emotion, lots of energy, and fired up players will translate into mistakes and a higher scoring game. Mexico just far superior technically to the hosts, call it 3-2 Mexico.
The Uruguayans got into the World Cup defeating Costa Rica in a playoff eliminator. Diego Forlan is the best finisher you’ve never heard on and worth a flyer for top scorers. France here based on Henry’s “Hand of God II” and never played well in qualifiers. Injuries to France and bad Kharma gets the South American’s off to a fast start and the French headed for fast exit. Uruguay 2-0.
My pick to win the tournament: ARGENTINA
Longshots to make noise: Chile, Netherlands, Portugal
Good Luck and an enjoy a great event.
Tags: 2010 World Cup, Diego Forlan, France, Mexico, Soccer, South Africa, Uruguay, World Cup, World+Cup
Posted in Free Plays, Handicapping Sports, Italy, Soccer | No Comments »